Toluca x Tigres UANL Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Toluca x Tigres UANL, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 03:10

Toluca 2.25

X 3.40

Tigres UANL 2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Toluca x Tigres UANL:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Toluca x Tigres UANL

The main points for the tip for Toluca x Tigres UANL: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tigres UANL, Toluca scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Toluca x Tigres UANL, with Toluca as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tigres UANL conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Toluca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tigres UANL. 👉 Toluca has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Tigres UANL.

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Analysis from Toluca x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of February

When the best bet on Toluca x Tigres UANL is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255014 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Toluca x Tigres UANL

Is it a good idea to bet on Toluca?

🔵 Toluca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$170.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Should you bet on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $385.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Tigres UANL

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Toluca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Toluca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Toluca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tigres UANL.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.