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Home Β» Predictions Β» Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 18h00 Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
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Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis, Sunday, 20/10/2024
πŸ“… 20/10/2024
18:00
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
1.64
X
3.86
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
4.41

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis

Important information for your tip for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $196.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Unam Pumas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico San Luis, Unam Pumas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis, with Unam Pumas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico San Luis conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Unam Pumas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Atletico San Luis.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Atletico San Luis as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis:

Analysis from Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis for the Mexico Liga MX – 20 of October

🏟️ Unam Pumas X Atletico San Luis – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ Unam Pumas – Winning probability: 62.80% | Fair line: 1.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.81% | Fair line: 3.87
πŸ”΄ Atletico San Luis – Winning probability: 11.39% | Fair line: 8.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Unam Pumas and Atletico San Luis.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis

Is betting on Unam Pumas worth it?

πŸ”΅ Unam Pumas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $403.20;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$33.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $743.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$3.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Atletico San Luis worth it?

πŸ”΄ Atletico San Luis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $375.10
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$514.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Unam Pumas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Unam Pumas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atletico San Luis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unam Pumas x Atletico San Luis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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