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Home » Predictions » Unam Pumas x Monterrey Betting tips for December 1 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 18h00 Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
PREDICTION Unam Pumas wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Monterrey Monterrey
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Unam Pumas x Monterrey Betting tips for December 1 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Unam Pumas x Monterrey, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
18:00
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
2.20
X
3.30
Monterrey Monterrey
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Unam Pumas x Monterrey:

🔮 Unam Pumas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unam Pumas, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Unam Pumas x Monterrey:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Unam Pumas x Monterrey, with Unam Pumas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Unam Pumas x Monterrey?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Unam Pumas x Monterrey, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Unam Pumas x Monterrey for the Mexico Liga MX – 1 of December

🏟️ Unam Pumas X Monterrey – Mexico Liga MX
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Unam Pumas – Winning probability: 72.58% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.00% | Fair line: 5.0
🔴 Monterrey – Winning probability: 7.42% | Fair line: 13.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Unam Pumas x Monterrey right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Unam Pumas x Monterrey

Is it a good idea to bet on Unam Pumas?

🔵 Unam Pumas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $876.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$606.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monterrey?

🔴 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $147.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$783.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Unam Pumas x Monterrey

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unam Pumas x Monterrey

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Unam Pumas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Unam Pumas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Unam Pumas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unam Pumas x Monterrey

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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