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Home » Predictions » Unam Pumas x Necaxa Betting tips for January 12 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 18h00 Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
PREDICTION Unam Pumas wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Necaxa Necaxa
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Unam Pumas x Necaxa Betting tips for January 12 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Unam Pumas x Necaxa, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
18:00
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
1.55
X
3.90
Necaxa Necaxa
5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Unam Pumas x Necaxa:

🔮 Unam Pumas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unam Pumas, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Unam Pumas x Necaxa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-37.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Necaxa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Necaxa conceded at least 3 goal(s).
👉 Unam Pumas has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Necaxa playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Necaxa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Unam Pumas x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 12 of January

🏟️ Unam Pumas X Necaxa – Mexico Liga MX
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Unam Pumas – Winning probability: 81.99% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.33% | Fair line: 8.83
🔴 Necaxa – Winning probability: 6.68% | Fair line: 14.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Unam Pumas and Necaxa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Unam Pumas x Necaxa

Should you bet on Unam Pumas?

🔵 Unam Pumas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $451.00
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$271.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $319.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it worth betting on Necaxa?

🔴 Necaxa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$615.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Unam Pumas x Necaxa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Unam Pumas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unam Pumas x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Unam Pumas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Unam Pumas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Unam Pumas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unam Pumas x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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