Unam Pumas x Toluca Betting tips for January 30 in Mexico Liga MX
๐
30/1/2025 03:05 |
![]() 2.35 |
X 3.40 |
Toluca ![]() 2.84 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Unam Pumas x Toluca:
๐ฎ Unam Pumas wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unam Pumas, you can win up to $1175.00!
The main points for the tip for Unam Pumas x Toluca: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0. |
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Analysis from Unam Pumas x Toluca for the Mexico Liga MX โ 30 of January
๐๏ธ Unam Pumas X Toluca โ Mexico Liga MX |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Unam Pumas and Toluca.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1253922 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1ร2 market for Unam Pumas x Toluca
Is it a good idea to bet on Unam Pumas?
๐ต Unam Pumas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times โ having a profit of $621.00;
- And would lose other 540 times โ losing -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$81.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times โ having a profit of $552.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times โ with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$218.00.
Should you bet on Toluca?
๐ด Toluca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times โ this would give you a profit of $570.40
- And would have lost other 690 times โ with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$119.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Unam Pumas x Toluca
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1ร2: +0.25 Unam Pumas
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1ร2 market for Unam Pumas x Toluca
โ Handicap 1ร2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Unam Pumas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Unam Pumas.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร2 is on: -0.0 Toluca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unam Pumas x Toluca
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.