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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Argentina x Brazil Betting tips for March 26 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Wednesday, 26 March 2025, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Argentina Argentina
PREDICTION Argentina wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Brazil Brazil
ODD: @2.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Argentina x Brazil Betting tips for March 26 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Argentina x Brazil, Wednesday, 26/3/2025
📅 26/3/2025
00:00
Argentina Argentina
2.15
X
3.20
Brazil Brazil
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Argentina x Brazil:

🔮 Argentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentina, you can win up to $1075.00!

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The main points for the tip for Argentina x Brazil:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brazil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-205.0.
👉 Argentina did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 10 matches as the home team, Argentina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Argentina x Brazil, with Argentina as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brazil conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Brazil is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Argentina is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Argentina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Brazil playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Argentina x Brazil?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Argentina x Brazil for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 26 of March

🏟️ Argentina X Brazil – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 26 of March, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Argentina – Winning probability: 64.02% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
🔴 Brazil – Winning probability: 15.08% | Fair line: 6.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Argentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Argentina and Brazil.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289434 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Argentina x Brazil

Should you bet on Argentina?

🔵 Argentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$376.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brazil?

🔴 Brazil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $375.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentina x Brazil

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Argentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentina x Brazil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Argentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Argentina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Argentina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentina x Brazil

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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