Argentina x Peru Betting tips for November 20 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Argentina x Peru, Wednesday, 20/11/2024

📅 20/11/2024 00:00

Argentina 1.18

X 6.50

Peru 15.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Argentina x Peru:

🔮 Argentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentina, you can win up to $590.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Argentina x Peru: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $76.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peru in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 Argentina did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 Peru did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 11 matches as the home team, Argentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Argentina x Peru, with Argentina as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Peru conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Argentina is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Argentina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Peru playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Peru as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Argentina x Peru?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Argentina x Peru for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 20 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Argentina x Peru right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1223927 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Argentina x Peru

Is it a good idea to bet on Argentina?

🔵 Argentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $176.40
• And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$156.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $110.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.00.

Is it worth betting on Peru?

🔴 Peru: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 15.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Argentina x Peru

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Argentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentina x Peru

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Argentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Argentina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Argentina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentina x Peru

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.