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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Bolivia x Colombia Betting tips for October 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Thursday, 10 October 2024, 17h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Bolivia Bolivia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Colombia Colombia
ODD: @3.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Bolivia x Colombia Betting tips for October 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Bolivia x Colombia, Thursday, 10/10/2024
📅 10/10/2024
17:00
Bolivia Bolivia
3.00
X
3.22
Colombia Colombia
2.36

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bolivia x Colombia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1610.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bolivia x Colombia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $46.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bolivia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Colombia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bolivia x Colombia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bolivia x Colombia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bolivia x Colombia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 10 of October

🏟️ Bolivia X Colombia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 10 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Bolivia – Winning probability: 26.79% | Fair line: 3.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.84% | Fair line: 2.71
🔴 Colombia – Winning probability: 36.37% | Fair line: 2.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bolivia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bolivia x Colombia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1197931 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bolivia x Colombia

Is betting on Bolivia worth it?

🔵 Bolivia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $821.40
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$191.40.

Is it worth betting on Colombia?

🔴 Colombia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $489.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bolivia x Colombia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bolivia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolivia x Colombia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bolivia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Bolivia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolivia x Colombia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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