Bolivia x Paraguay Betting tips for November 19 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 19/11/2024 20:00 |
 Bolivia1.67 |
X 3.64 |
Paraguay  5.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bolivia x Paraguay:
🔮 Bolivia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bolivia, you can win up to $835.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Bolivia x Paraguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paraguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. |
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Analysis from Bolivia x Paraguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 19 of November
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🏟️ Bolivia X Paraguay – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
When the best bet on Bolivia x Paraguay is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1224026 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bolivia x Paraguay
Is it worth betting on Bolivia?
🔵 Bolivia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 720 times – profiting $482.40;
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$202.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.
Should you bet on Paraguay?
🔴 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $328.00
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$592.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bolivia x Paraguay
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bolivia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolivia x Paraguay
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bolivia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bolivia.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolivia x Paraguay
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
