Bolivia x Venezuela Betting tips for September 5 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Bolivia x Venezuela, Thursday, 5/9/2024

📅 5/9/2024 17:00

Bolivia 1.90

X 3.40

Venezuela 4.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bolivia x Venezuela:

🔮 Venezuela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Venezuela, you can win up to $2050.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bolivia x Venezuela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-145.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezuela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $158.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bolivia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Venezuela, Bolivia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Bolivia x Venezuela, with Bolivia as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Bolivia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Venezuela. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Venezuela has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bolivia x Venezuela?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Bolivia x Venezuela for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 5 of September

When the best bet on Bolivia x Venezuela is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1173975 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bolivia x Venezuela

Is it a good idea to bet on Bolivia?

🔵 Bolivia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $486.00;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$26.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is betting on Venezuela worth it?

🔴 Venezuela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $868.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bolivia x Venezuela

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bolivia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolivia x Venezuela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bolivia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bolivia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Venezuela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolivia x Venezuela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.