Brazil x Uruguay Betting tips for November 20 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Brazil x Uruguay, Wednesday, 20/11/2024

📅 20/11/2024 00:45

Brazil 1.54

X 3.91

Uruguay 6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brazil x Uruguay:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Brazil x Uruguay

Some important points for the tip for Brazil x Uruguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brazil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-244.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Brazil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Uruguay, Brazil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Uruguay matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Brazil has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Uruguay playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brazil x Uruguay?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brazil x Uruguay, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Brazil x Uruguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 20 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brazil and Uruguay.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1224921 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brazil x Uruguay

Is it worth betting on Brazil?

🔵 Brazil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $340.20;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$29.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $669.30;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.70.

Is it worth betting on Uruguay?

🔴 Uruguay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $700.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brazil x Uruguay

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brazil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brazil x Uruguay

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Brazil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Brazil.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Uruguay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brazil x Uruguay

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.