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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Chile x Bolivia Betting tips for September 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Tuesday, 10 September 2024, 18h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Chile Chile
PREDICTION Chile wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Bolivia Bolivia
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Chile x Bolivia Betting tips for September 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Chile x Bolivia, Tuesday, 10/9/2024
📅 10/9/2024
18:00
Chile Chile
1.27
X
5.33
Bolivia Bolivia
11.12

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chile x Bolivia:

🔮 Chile wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chile, you can win up to $635.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Chile x Bolivia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Bolivia did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bolivia, Chile scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Bolivia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Chile has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Bolivia playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Bolivia as away team: it comes from 9 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Chile x Bolivia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chile x Bolivia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chile x Bolivia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 10 of September

🏟️ Chile X Bolivia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 10 of September, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Chile – Winning probability: 90.95% | Fair line: 1.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.87% | Fair line: 14.55
🔴 Bolivia – Winning probability: 2.18% | Fair line: 45.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chile and Bolivia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1178659 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chile x Bolivia

Is it a good idea to bet on Chile?

🔵 Chile: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $245.70
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $303.10
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$626.90.

Is betting on Bolivia worth it?

🔴 Bolivia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $202.40;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$777.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chile x Bolivia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chile x Bolivia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Chile.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chile x Bolivia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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