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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Chile x Brazil Betting tips for October 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Thursday, 10 October 2024, 21h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Chile Chile
PREDICTION Brazil Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Brazil Brazil
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Chile x Brazil Betting tips for October 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Chile x Brazil, Thursday, 10/10/2024
📅 10/10/2024
21:00
Chile Chile
5.85
X
3.97
Brazil Brazil
1.53

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chile x Brazil:

🔮 Brazil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brazil, you can win up to $765.00!

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Important information for your tip for Chile x Brazil:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brazil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Chile x Brazil?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Chile x Brazil:

Analysis from Chile x Brazil for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 10 of October

🏟️ Chile X Brazil – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 10 of October, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Chile – Winning probability: 7.11% | Fair line: 14.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.51% | Fair line: 5.13
🔴 Brazil – Winning probability: 73.38% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chile x Brazil is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1197931 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chile x Brazil

Is betting on Chile worth it?

🔵 Chile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $339.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$590.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$206.00.

Should you bet on Brazil?

🔴 Brazil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $386.90;
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chile x Brazil

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chile x Brazil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Chile.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chile x Brazil

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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