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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Chile x Ecuador Betting tips for March 26 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Wednesday, 26 March 2025, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Chile Chile
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 46% 1 X 2
Ecuador Ecuador
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Chile x Ecuador Betting tips for March 26 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Chile x Ecuador, Wednesday, 26/3/2025
📅 26/3/2025
00:00
Chile Chile
2.60
X
3.15
Ecuador Ecuador
2.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chile x Ecuador:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!

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The main points for the tip for Chile x Ecuador:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chile scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Ecuador matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Chile matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chile conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Chile x Ecuador?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chile x Ecuador, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chile x Ecuador for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 26 of March

🏟️ Chile X Ecuador – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 26 of March, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Chile – Winning probability: 28.56% | Fair line: 3.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 46.07% | Fair line: 2.17
🔴 Ecuador – Winning probability: 25.37% | Fair line: 3.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chile x Ecuador is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1289434 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chile x Ecuador

Should you bet on Chile?

🔵 Chile: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $464.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $989.00
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$449.00.

Is betting on Ecuador worth it?

🔴 Ecuador: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chile x Ecuador

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chile x Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chile.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chile.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chile x Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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