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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Chile x Venezuela Betting tips for November 20 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Wednesday, 20 November 2024, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Chile Chile
PREDICTION Chile wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Venezuela Venezuela
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Chile x Venezuela Betting tips for November 20 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Chile x Venezuela, Wednesday, 20/11/2024
📅 20/11/2024
00:00
Chile Chile
2.00
X
3.20
Venezuela Venezuela
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chile x Venezuela:

🔮 Chile wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chile, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chile x Venezuela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezuela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Venezuela, Chile scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Venezuela matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Chile x Venezuela, with Chile as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chile conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Chile has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Venezuela.
👉 It is not a good time for Chile as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chile x Venezuela for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 20 of November

🏟️ Chile X Venezuela – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 20 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Chile – Winning probability: 51.92% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.56% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Venezuela – Winning probability: 22.52% | Fair line: 4.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chile and Venezuela.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1223927 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chile x Venezuela

Is betting on Chile worth it?

🔵 Chile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it worth betting on Venezuela?

🔴 Venezuela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $690.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chile x Venezuela

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chile x Venezuela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chile.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Venezuela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chile x Venezuela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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