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Home ยป Predictions ยป World Cup ยป Colombia x Chile Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 20h30 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Colombia Colombia
PREDICTION Colombia wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Chile Chile
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Colombia x Chile Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Colombia x Chile, Tuesday, 15/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 15/10/2024
20:30
Colombia Colombia
1.48
X
4.05
Chile Chile
6.82

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Colombia x Chile:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Colombia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colombia, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Colombia x Chile:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $325.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Chile did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colombia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Colombia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Colombia is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Colombia has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Chile playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Colombia x Chile?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Colombia x Chile, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Colombia x Chile for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 15 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Colombia X Chile – South America – World Cup Qualifying
๐Ÿ“… 15 of October, 2024 – 20:30
๐Ÿ”ต Colombia – Winning probability: 81.57% | Fair line: 1.23
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.44% | Fair line: 6.48
๐Ÿ”ด Chile – Winning probability: 3.00% | Fair line: 33.38
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Colombia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Colombia and Chile.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202580 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colombia x Chile

Should you bet on Colombia?

๐Ÿ”ต Colombia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $393.60;
  • And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$213.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.50.

Is betting on Chile worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Chile: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $174.60;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$795.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Colombia x Chile

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Colombia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colombia x Chile

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Colombia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Colombia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colombia x Chile

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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