Colombia x Ecuador Betting tips for November 19 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Colombia x Ecuador, Tuesday, 19/11/2024

📅 19/11/2024 23:00

Colombia 1.60

X 3.60

Ecuador 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Colombia x Ecuador:

🔮 Colombia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colombia, you can win up to $800.00!

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Important information for your tip for Colombia x Ecuador: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colombia scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Ecuador matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Colombia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Colombia is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Colombia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ecuador playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Colombia x Ecuador?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Colombia x Ecuador, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Colombia x Ecuador for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 19 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Colombia x Ecuador right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1224921 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colombia x Ecuador

Is it a good idea to bet on Colombia?

🔵 Colombia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on Ecuador?

🔴 Ecuador: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $300.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Colombia x Ecuador

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Colombia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colombia x Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Colombia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Colombia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colombia x Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.