Colombia x Ecuador Betting tips for November 19 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Colombia x Ecuador, Tuesday, 19/11/2024

📅 19/11/2024 23:00

Colombia 1.60

X 3.60

Ecuador 6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Colombia x Ecuador:

🔮 Colombia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colombia, you can win up to $800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Colombia x Ecuador: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colombia scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Ecuador matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Colombia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Colombia is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Colombia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ecuador playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Colombia x Ecuador?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Colombia x Ecuador, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Colombia x Ecuador for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 19 of November

When the best bet on Colombia x Ecuador is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1223927 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colombia x Ecuador

Is it a good idea to bet on Colombia?

🔵 Colombia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $426.00
• And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$136.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is betting on Ecuador worth it?

🔴 Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Colombia x Ecuador

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Colombia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colombia x Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Colombia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Colombia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Colombia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colombia x Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.