Colombia x Paraguay Betting tips for March 26 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Colombia x Paraguay, Wednesday, 26/3/2025

📅 26/3/2025 00:00

Colombia 1.57

X 3.80

Paraguay 6.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Colombia x Paraguay:

🔮 Colombia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colombia, you can win up to $785.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Colombia x Paraguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paraguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Paraguay has not lost any of them. 👉 Colombia has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Paraguay playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Colombia x Paraguay?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Colombia x Paraguay:

Analysis from Colombia x Paraguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 26 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Colombia x Paraguay right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289434 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colombia x Paraguay

Is betting on Colombia worth it?

🔵 Colombia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – profiting $410.40;
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$130.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is it worth betting on Paraguay?

🔴 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $156.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$814.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Colombia x Paraguay

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Colombia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colombia x Paraguay

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Colombia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Colombia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Colombia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colombia x Paraguay

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.