Ecuador x Bolivia Betting tips for November 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 15/11/2024 00:00 |
 Ecuador1.17 |
X 6.55 |
Bolivia  13.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ecuador x Bolivia:
🔮 Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ecuador, you can win up to $585.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Ecuador x Bolivia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-83.0. |
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Analysis from Ecuador x Bolivia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 15 of November
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🏟️ Ecuador X Bolivia – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
When the best bet on Ecuador x Bolivia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ecuador x Bolivia
Should you bet on Ecuador?
🔵 Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – profiting $168.30;
- And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$158.30.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $55.50
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$934.50.
Should you bet on Bolivia?
🔴 Bolivia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Bolivia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Bolivia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Ecuador, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Ecuador.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Ecuador.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Bolivia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
