Ecuador x Peru Betting tips for September 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Ecuador x Peru, Tuesday, 10/9/2024

📅 10/9/2024 18:00

Ecuador 1.45

X 4.20

Peru 7.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ecuador x Peru:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Ecuador x Peru

Important information for your tip for Ecuador x Peru: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peru in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Peru, Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Peru matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Ecuador matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Ecuador x Peru, with Ecuador as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Ecuador conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Peru.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Peru?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Peru, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ecuador x Peru for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 10 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ecuador and Peru.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1178659 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ecuador x Peru

Is betting on Ecuador worth it?

🔵 Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$44.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $800.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is betting on Peru worth it?

🔴 Peru: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $191.10;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$778.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Peru

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Peru

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Ecuador and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ecuador.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Peru.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Peru

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.