Ecuador x Venezuela Betting tips for March 21 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Ecuador x Venezuela, Friday, 21/3/2025

📅 21/3/2025 21:00

Ecuador 1.42

X 4.30

Venezuela 7.48

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ecuador x Venezuela:

🔮 Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ecuador, you can win up to $710.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ecuador x Venezuela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezuela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 Ecuador did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Venezuela scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Venezuela, Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Venezuela matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Venezuela conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Ecuador is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 70.00% of possession. 👉 It is not a good time for Venezuela as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Ecuador x Venezuela for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 21 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ecuador x Venezuela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1285513 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ecuador x Venezuela

Is it a good idea to bet on Ecuador?

🔵 Ecuador: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 880 times – profiting $369.60;
• And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$249.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $330.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$570.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Venezuela?

🔴 Venezuela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $129.60;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$850.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Venezuela

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Venezuela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Ecuador and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ecuador.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Venezuela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.