Paraguay x Argentina Betting tips for November 14 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 14/11/2024 23:30 |
 Paraguay5.00 |
X 3.40 |
Argentina  1.73 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paraguay x Argentina:
🔮 Argentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentina, you can win up to $865.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for Paraguay x Argentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentina in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $54.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paraguay x Argentina?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Paraguay x Argentina:
Analysis from Paraguay x Argentina for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 14 of November
|
🏟️ Paraguay X Argentina – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Paraguay x Argentina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221435 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Paraguay x Argentina
Is betting on Paraguay worth it?
🔵 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Should you bet on Argentina?
🔴 Argentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $445.30
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Paraguay x Argentina
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Paraguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paraguay x Argentina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Paraguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Paraguay.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paraguay x Argentina
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
