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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Paraguay x Venezuela Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 23h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Paraguay Paraguay
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Venezuela Venezuela
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Paraguay x Venezuela Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Paraguay x Venezuela, Tuesday, 15/10/2024
📅 15/10/2024
23:00
Paraguay Paraguay
1.85
X
3.25
Venezuela Venezuela
4.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paraguay x Venezuela:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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The main points for the tip for Paraguay x Venezuela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Paraguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezuela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
👉 In the last 3 Venezuela matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Paraguay x Venezuela?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Paraguay x Venezuela, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Paraguay x Venezuela for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 15 of October

🏟️ Paraguay X Venezuela – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 15 of October, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Paraguay – Winning probability: 40.18% | Fair line: 2.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.63% | Fair line: 2.73
🔴 Venezuela – Winning probability: 23.19% | Fair line: 4.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Paraguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Paraguay x Venezuela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202580 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paraguay x Venezuela

Is betting on Paraguay worth it?

🔵 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $340.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$260.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $832.50
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$202.50.

Is it worth betting on Venezuela?

🔴 Venezuela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $777.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$7.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Paraguay x Venezuela

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Paraguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paraguay x Venezuela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Paraguay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paraguay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Venezuela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paraguay x Venezuela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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