Peru x Chile Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 16/11/2024 01:30 |
 Peru2.45 |
X 3.00 |
Chile  2.94 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Peru x Chile:
🔮 Peru wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peru, you can win up to $1225.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Peru x Chile: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Peru x Chile?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Peru x Chile, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Peru x Chile for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of November
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🏟️ Peru X Chile – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Peru x Chile right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221754 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Peru x Chile
Should you bet on Peru?
🔵 Peru: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$20.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$80.00.
Is betting on Chile worth it?
🔴 Chile: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $465.60;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$294.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Peru x Chile
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Peru
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peru x Chile
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Peru, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Peru.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Peru.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peru x Chile
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
