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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Peru x Colombia Betting tips for September 6 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Friday, 06 September 2024, 22h30 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Peru Peru
PREDICTION Colombia Wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
Colombia Colombia
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Peru x Colombia Betting tips for September 6 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Peru x Colombia, Friday, 6/9/2024
📅 6/9/2024
22:30
Peru Peru
4.00
X
3.30
Colombia Colombia
1.98

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Peru x Colombia:

🔮 Colombia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colombia, you can win up to $990.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Peru x Colombia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Peru in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-274.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $533.0.
👉 Peru did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Peru matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Colombia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Peru conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Colombia.
👉 Even as a visitor, Colombia won the last 3 head-to-head matches Peru´s territory

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Peru x Colombia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Peru x Colombia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 6 of September

🏟️ Peru X Colombia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 6 of September, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Peru – Winning probability: 0.63% | Fair line: 157.62
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.93% | Fair line: 9.15
🔴 Colombia – Winning probability: 88.44% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Peru
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Peru and Colombia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1174592 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Peru x Colombia

Is betting on Peru worth it?

🔵 Peru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $30.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$960.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $253.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$637.00.

Is it worth betting on Colombia?

🔴 Colombia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $862.40;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$742.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Peru x Colombia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Peru
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peru x Colombia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Peru, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Peru.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Colombia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peru x Colombia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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