Peru x Uruguay Betting tips for October 11 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Peru x Uruguay, Friday, 11/10/2024

📅 11/10/2024 22:30

Peru 4.20

X 3.25

Uruguay 1.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Peru x Uruguay:

🔮 Uruguay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Uruguay, you can win up to $955.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Peru x Uruguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peru in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-391.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Uruguay, Peru scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Peru matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Peru conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Uruguay. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Uruguay has not lost any of them. 👉 Peru has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Uruguay playing at home.

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Analysis from Peru x Uruguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 11 of October

When the best bet on Peru x Uruguay is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1197931 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Peru x Uruguay

Should you bet on Peru?

🔵 Peru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $697.50;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$7.50.

Is it worth betting on Uruguay?

🔴 Uruguay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $500.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$50.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Peru x Uruguay

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Peru
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peru x Uruguay

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Peru, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Peru.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peru x Uruguay

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.