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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Uruguay x Colombia Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Saturday, 16 November 2024, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Uruguay Uruguay
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Colombia Colombia
ODD: @3.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Uruguay x Colombia Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Uruguay x Colombia, Saturday, 16/11/2024
📅 16/11/2024
00:00
Uruguay Uruguay
2.10
X
3.17
Colombia Colombia
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Uruguay x Colombia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1585.00!

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Important information for your tip for Uruguay x Colombia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 Uruguay did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Uruguay matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Colombia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Uruguay x Colombia, with Uruguay as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Uruguay x Colombia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Uruguay x Colombia:

Analysis from Uruguay x Colombia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of November

🏟️ Uruguay X Colombia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 16 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Uruguay – Winning probability: 48.22% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.17% | Fair line: 2.76
🔴 Colombia – Winning probability: 15.61% | Fair line: 6.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Uruguay x Colombia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221754 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Uruguay x Colombia

Should you bet on Uruguay?

🔵 Uruguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $781.20;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$141.20.

Should you bet on Colombia?

🔴 Colombia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $416.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Uruguay x Colombia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Uruguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Uruguay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Uruguay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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