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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Uruguay x Colombia Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Saturday, 16 November 2024, 00h00 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Uruguay Uruguay
PREDICTION Uruguay wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Colombia Colombia
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Uruguay x Colombia Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Uruguay x Colombia, Saturday, 16/11/2024
📅 16/11/2024
00:00
Uruguay Uruguay
2.10
X
3.20
Colombia Colombia
3.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Uruguay x Colombia:

🔮 Uruguay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Uruguay, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Uruguay x Colombia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 Uruguay did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Uruguay matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Colombia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Uruguay x Colombia, with Uruguay as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Colombia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Uruguay x Colombia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Uruguay x Colombia:

Analysis from Uruguay x Colombia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of November

🏟️ Uruguay X Colombia – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 16 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Uruguay – Winning probability: 49.98% | Fair line: 2.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.89% | Fair line: 3.14
🔴 Colombia – Winning probability: 18.14% | Fair line: 5.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Uruguay x Colombia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221435 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Uruguay x Colombia

Should you bet on Uruguay?

🔵 Uruguay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Colombia worth it?

🔴 Colombia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $473.40;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$346.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Uruguay x Colombia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Uruguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Uruguay.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Uruguay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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