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Home ยป Predictions ยป World Cup ยป Uruguay x Ecuador Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 23h30 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Uruguay Uruguay
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Ecuador Ecuador
ODD: @3.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Uruguay x Ecuador Betting tips for October 15 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Uruguay x Ecuador, Tuesday, 15/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 15/10/2024
23:30
Uruguay Uruguay
1.67
X
3.58
Ecuador Ecuador
5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Uruguay x Ecuador:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Uruguay x Ecuador:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-261.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Uruguay did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ecuador, Uruguay scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Uruguay matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Ecuador matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Uruguay has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Ecuador.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Uruguay x Ecuador?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Uruguay x Ecuador, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Uruguay x Ecuador for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 15 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Uruguay X Ecuador – South America – World Cup Qualifying
๐Ÿ“… 15 of October, 2024 – 23:30
๐Ÿ”ต Uruguay – Winning probability: 50.17% | Fair line: 1.99
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.08% | Fair line: 2.77
๐Ÿ”ด Ecuador – Winning probability: 13.75% | Fair line: 7.27
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Uruguay
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Uruguay and Ecuador.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202580 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Uruguay x Ecuador

Is it a good idea to bet on Uruguay?

๐Ÿ”ต Uruguay: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $335.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$165.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $928.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$288.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ecuador?

๐Ÿ”ด Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$230.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Uruguay x Ecuador

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Uruguay
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uruguay x Ecuador

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Uruguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Uruguay.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uruguay x Ecuador

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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