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Home » Predictions » World Cup » Uruguay x Paraguay Betting tips for September 6 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
Friday, 06 September 2024, 20h30 South America - World Cup Qualifying
Uruguay Uruguay
PREDICTION Paraguay Wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Paraguay Paraguay
ODD: @6.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Uruguay x Paraguay Betting tips for September 6 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Uruguay x Paraguay, Friday, 6/9/2024
📅 6/9/2024
20:30
Uruguay Uruguay
1.55
X
3.90
Paraguay Paraguay
6.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Uruguay x Paraguay:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1950.00!

🔮 Paraguay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paraguay, you can win up to $3150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Uruguay x Paraguay:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-149.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paraguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Paraguay scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Uruguay has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Paraguay playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Uruguay x Paraguay?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Uruguay x Paraguay, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Uruguay x Paraguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 6 of September

🏟️ Uruguay X Paraguay – South America – World Cup Qualifying
📅 6 of September, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Uruguay – Winning probability: 8.66% | Fair line: 11.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 48.96% | Fair line: 2.04
🔴 Paraguay – Winning probability: 42.38% | Fair line: 2.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Uruguay x Paraguay is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1174592 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Uruguay x Paraguay

Is it worth betting on Uruguay?

🔵 Uruguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $49.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$860.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $1421.00
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$911.00.

Is it worth betting on Paraguay?

🔴 Paraguay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $2226.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1646.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Uruguay x Paraguay

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uruguay x Paraguay

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Uruguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Uruguay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Uruguay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uruguay x Paraguay

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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