Barcelona x Valladolid Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga
| 📅 31/8/2024 12:00 |
 Barcelona1.27 |
X 5.80 |
Valladolid  10.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Barcelona x Valladolid:
🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $635.00!
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The main points for the tip for Barcelona x Valladolid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. |
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Analysis from Barcelona x Valladolid for the Spain Primera Liga – 31 of August
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🏟️ Barcelona X Valladolid – Spain Primera Liga |
When the best bet on Barcelona x Valladolid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1170907 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona x Valladolid
Is betting on Barcelona worth it?
🔵 Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $259.20
- And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$219.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $144.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$826.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Valladolid?
🔴 Valladolid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $90.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Valladolid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Valladolid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Barcelona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Barcelona.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Barcelona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Valladolid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
