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Home » Predictions » La Liga » Leganes x Mallorca Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga
Saturday, 31 August 2024, 16h30 Spain Primera Liga
Leganes Leganes
PREDICTION Mallorca Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Mallorca Mallorca
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Leganes x Mallorca Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Leganes x Mallorca, Saturday, 31/8/2024
📅 31/8/2024
16:30
Leganes Leganes
2.62
X
2.90
Mallorca Mallorca
2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leganes x Mallorca:

🔮 Mallorca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mallorca, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Leganes x Mallorca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leganes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leganes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Leganes x Mallorca, with Leganes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Leganes x Mallorca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Leganes x Mallorca:

Analysis from Leganes x Mallorca for the Spain Primera Liga – 31 of August

🏟️ Leganes X Mallorca – Spain Primera Liga
📅 31 of August, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Leganes – Winning probability: 35.45% | Fair line: 2.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.03% | Fair line: 3.7
🔴 Mallorca – Winning probability: 37.52% | Fair line: 2.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leganes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leganes x Mallorca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1170907 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leganes x Mallorca

Is it worth betting on Leganes?

🔵 Leganes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $567.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$83.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Should you bet on Mallorca?

🔴 Mallorca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $722.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$102.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Leganes x Mallorca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leganes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leganes x Mallorca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Leganes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Leganes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leganes x Mallorca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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