Real Madrid x Real Betis Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Real Betis, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 16:30

Real Madrid 1.30

X 5.50

Real Betis 9.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Real Betis:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Real Madrid x Real Betis: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-16.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Betis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Real Betis matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Real Betis has not lost any of them. 👉 Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Real Betis playing at home.

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Analysis from Real Madrid x Real Betis for the Spain Primera Liga – 1 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Madrid x Real Betis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Real Betis

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?

🔵 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $282.00;
• And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$725.00.

Should you bet on Real Betis?

🔴 Real Betis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $160.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$820.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Real Betis

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Real Betis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Real Madrid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Real Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Real Betis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.