Atalanta x Fiorentina Betting tips for September 15 in Italy Serie A
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15/9/2024 10:00 |
 Atalanta1.81 |
X 3.70 |
Fiorentina  4.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Fiorentina:
๐ฎ Atalanta wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $905.00!
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The main points for the tip for Atalanta x Fiorentina: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $380.0. |
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Analysis from Atalanta x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 15 of September
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๐๏ธ Atalanta X Fiorentina – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Atalanta x Fiorentina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1180290 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Fiorentina
Should you bet on Atalanta?
๐ต Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $550.80
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$230.80.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$297.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?
๐ด Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $416.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$454.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Fiorentina
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atalanta
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Fiorentina
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Atalanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atalanta.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fiorentina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Fiorentina
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
