Cagliari x Napoli Betting tips for September 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Napoli, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 13:00

Cagliari 4.20

X 3.64

Napoli 1.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Napoli:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $910.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Cagliari x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Napoli, Cagliari scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Napoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Napoli.

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Analysis from Cagliari x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 15 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x Napoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Napoli

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔵 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.80.

Is betting on Napoli worth it?

🔴 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $557.60;
• And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$237.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Napoli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Cagliari. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.