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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Monza x Inter Milan Betting tips for September 15 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie A
Monza Monza
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza x Inter Milan Betting tips for September 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Inter Milan, Sunday, 15/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 15/9/2024
15:45
Monza Monza
6.60
X
4.50
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monza x Inter Milan:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Inter Milan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $710.00!

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Important information for your tip for Monza x Inter Milan:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-284.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Inter Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monza x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 15 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Monza X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 15 of September, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Monza – Winning probability: 2.21% | Fair line: 45.17
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.06% | Fair line: 16.5
๐Ÿ”ด Inter Milan – Winning probability: 91.73% | Fair line: 1.09
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Monza
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monza and Inter Milan.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monza x Inter Milan

Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?

๐Ÿ”ต Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $112.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$868.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $210.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$730.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Inter Milan?

๐Ÿ”ด Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $386.40;
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$306.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Inter Milan

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Monza
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Inter Milan

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Monza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Inter Milan

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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