Cagliari x Empoli Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Empoli, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 13:30

Cagliari 2.25

X 3.25

Empoli 3.22

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Empoli:

🔮 Cagliari wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1125.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Cagliari x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Empoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Empoli has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Cagliari x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 20 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cagliari and Empoli.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli

Should you bet on Cagliari?

🔵 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $625.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$125.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

🔴 Empoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $532.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Empoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cagliari.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Empoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.