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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Verona x Torino Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 20 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie A
Verona Verona
PREDICTION Torino Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Torino Torino
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Verona x Torino Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x Torino, Friday, 20/9/2024
📅 20/9/2024
15:45
Verona Verona
2.70
X
3.20
Torino Torino
2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Verona x Torino:

🔮 Torino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torino, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Important information for your tip for Verona x Torino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Torino.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Torino has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Torino won the last 3 head-to-head matches Verona´s territory

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Verona x Torino?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Verona x Torino:

Analysis from Verona x Torino for the Italy Serie A – 20 of September

🏟️ Verona X Torino – Italy Serie A
📅 20 of September, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Verona – Winning probability: 31.79% | Fair line: 3.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.72% | Fair line: 4.6
🔴 Torino – Winning probability: 46.50% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Verona and Torino.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Verona x Torino

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔵 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $544.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $484.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Should you bet on Torino?

🔴 Torino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $782.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Torino

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Torino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Verona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Torino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Torino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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