Famalicao x Nacional Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:30 |
 Famalicao1.60 |
X 3.80 |
Nacional  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Famalicao x Nacional:
🔮 Famalicao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Famalicao, you can win up to $800.00!
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The main points for the tip for Famalicao x Nacional: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. |
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Analysis from Famalicao x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of September
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🏟️ Famalicao X Nacional – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Famalicao x Nacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Famalicao x Nacional
Is it worth betting on Famalicao?
🔵 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.
Should you bet on Nacional?
🔴 Nacional: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $405.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Nacional
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Nacional
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Famalicao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Famalicao.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Nacional.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Nacional
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
