Parma x Cagliari Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Cagliari, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:45

Parma 2.10

X 3.40

Cagliari 3.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Parma x Cagliari:

🔮 Parma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parma, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Parma x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $475.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Parma has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Cagliari?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Parma x Cagliari:

Analysis from Parma x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Parma x Cagliari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Cagliari

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $649.00;
• And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔴 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $542.80
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$227.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Cagliari

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Parma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Parma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.