Verona x Venezia Betting tips for October 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x Venezia, Friday, 4/10/2024

📅 4/10/2024 15:45

Verona 2.05

X 3.40

Venezia 3.54

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Verona x Venezia:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Verona x Venezia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Venezia, Verona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Verona has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Venezia playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Verona x Venezia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Verona x Venezia:

Analysis from Verona x Venezia for the Italy Serie A – 4 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Verona and Venezia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Verona x Venezia

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔵 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $816.00
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$156.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Venezia?

🔴 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $660.40;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$79.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Venezia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Venezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Verona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Venezia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Venezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.