Gil Vicente x Estrela Betting tips for October 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente x Estrela, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 11:30

Gil Vicente 1.92

X 3.40

Estrela 3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gil Vicente x Estrela:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gil Vicente x Estrela: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 Estrela matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Estrela conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Gil Vicente x Estrela?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gil Vicente x Estrela:

Analysis from Gil Vicente x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gil Vicente and Estrela.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gil Vicente x Estrela

Is it a good idea to bet on Gil Vicente?

🔵 Gil Vicente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $460.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $744.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$54.00.

Should you bet on Estrela?

🔴 Estrela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente x Estrela

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gil Vicente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente x Estrela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Gil Vicente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gil Vicente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Estrela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente x Estrela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.