Bologna x Parma Betting tips for October 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Parma, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 10:00

Bologna 1.75

X 3.80

Parma 4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bologna x Parma:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Bologna x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Bologna scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bologna x Parma, with Bologna as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Parma. 👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Parma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bologna x Parma:

Analysis from Bologna x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 6 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Parma.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Parma

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$15.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Should you bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $735.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Parma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bologna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.