Monza x Roma Betting tips for October 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Roma, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 13:00

Monza 3.75

X 3.30

Roma 2.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monza x Roma:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Monza x Roma

Some important points for the tip for Monza x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Roma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Monza x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 6 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monza and Roma.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x Roma

Is it worth betting on Monza?

🔵 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $605.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $644.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔴 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Roma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Monza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Monza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.