FC Porto x Braga Betting tips for October 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 6/10/2024 16:30 |
 FC Porto1.64 |
X 4.00 |
Braga  4.90 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Porto x Braga:
🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $820.00!
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The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Braga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. |
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Analysis from FC Porto x Braga for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 6 of October
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🏟️ FC Porto X Braga – Portugal Primeira Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Porto and Braga.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x Braga
Is it worth betting on FC Porto?
🔵 FC Porto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $428.80;
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $750.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$0.00.
Should you bet on Braga?
🔴 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $351.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$559.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Braga
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Braga
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FC Porto.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FC Porto.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Braga
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
