Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol Betting tips for October 19 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 19/10/2024 12:00 |
 Athletic Bilbao1.50 |
X 4.10 |
Espanyol  6.34 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol:
🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $750.00!
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Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0. |
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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol for the Spain La Liga – 19 of October
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🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Espanyol – Spain La Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?
🔵 Athletic Bilbao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $341.00
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$549.00.
Is betting on Espanyol worth it?
🔴 Espanyol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $267.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$683.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Athletic Bilbao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Athletic Bilbao.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Espanyol
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
