Juventus x Lazio Betting tips for October 19 in Italy Serie A
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19/10/2024 18:45 |
Juventus 1.83 |
X 3.42 |
Lazio 4.45 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Juventus x Lazio:
๐ฎ Juventus wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $915.00!
Important information for your tip for Juventus x Lazio: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-177.0. |
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Analysis from Juventus x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 19 of October
๐๏ธ Juventus X Lazio – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventus and Lazio.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Lazio
Should you bet on Juventus?
๐ต Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $423.30
- And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$66.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $701.80;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$8.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?
๐ด Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $655.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$154.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Lazio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Juventus
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Lazio
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Juventus.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Lazio
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.