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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Empoli x Napoli Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 10h30 Italy Serie A
Empoli Empoli
PREDICTION Napoli Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Napoli Napoli
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Empoli x Napoli Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Empoli x Napoli, Sunday, 20/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/10/2024
10:30
Empoli Empoli
5.10
X
3.75
Napoli Napoli
1.66

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Empoli x Napoli:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Napoli wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Empoli x Napoli:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 3 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Empoli did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Empoli did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Empoli matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Empoli x Napoli?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Empoli x Napoli:

Analysis from Empoli x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 20 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Empoli X Napoli – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 10:30
๐Ÿ”ต Empoli – Winning probability: 5.24% | Fair line: 19.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
๐Ÿ”ด Napoli – Winning probability: 73.86% | Fair line: 1.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Empoli
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Empoli and Napoli.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204538 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Empoli x Napoli

Should you bet on Empoli?

๐Ÿ”ต Empoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $205.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$745.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$212.50.

Should you bet on Napoli?

๐Ÿ”ด Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $488.40;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$228.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Napoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Empoli
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Napoli

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Empoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Empoli. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Napoli

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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