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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Lecce x Fiorentina Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 13h00 Italy Serie A
Lecce Lecce
PREDICTION Fiorentina Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Lecce x Fiorentina Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Fiorentina, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
13:00
Lecce Lecce
2.96
X
3.25
Fiorentina Fiorentina
2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lecce x Fiorentina:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $1200.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lecce x Fiorentina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fiorentina, Lecce scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Fiorentina.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lecce x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 20 of October

🏟️ Lecce X Fiorentina – Italy Serie A
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Lecce – Winning probability: 16.56% | Fair line: 6.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.40% | Fair line: 3.94
🔴 Fiorentina – Winning probability: 58.04% | Fair line: 1.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Fiorentina.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce x Fiorentina

Is it a good idea to bet on Lecce?

🔵 Lecce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $333.20
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?

🔴 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $812.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$392.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Fiorentina

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Lecce.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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