Verona x Monza Betting tips for October 21 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 21/10/2024 18:45 |
 Verona2.30 |
X 3.17 |
Monza  3.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Verona x Monza:
🔮 Monza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monza, you can win up to $1600.00!
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The main points for the tip for Verona x Monza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Verona x Monza?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Verona x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 21 of October
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🏟️ Verona X Monza – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Verona x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1205088 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Verona x Monza
Is it a good idea to bet on Verona?
🔵 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $716.10;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$46.10.
Is it worth betting on Monza?
🔴 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $682.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$8.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Monza
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Monza
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Verona.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Monza.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Monza
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
