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Home » Predictions » Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 16h45 UEFA Europa League
Midtjylland Midtjylland
PREDICTION Union Saint Gilloise Wins Probability 36% 1 X 2
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
ODD: @3.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise, Thursday, 24/10/2024
📅 24/10/2024
16:45
Midtjylland Midtjylland
2.12
X
3.40
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
3.34

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise:

🔮 Union Saint Gilloise wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Saint Gilloise, you can win up to $1670.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Midtjylland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $197.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Midtjylland scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Midtjylland conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise:

Analysis from Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise for the UEFA Europa League – 24 of October

🏟️ Midtjylland X Union Saint Gilloise – UEFA Europa League
📅 24 of October, 2024 – 16:45
🔵 Midtjylland – Winning probability: 41.28% | Fair line: 2.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.03% | Fair line: 4.54
🔴 Union Saint Gilloise – Winning probability: 36.69% | Fair line: 2.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Midtjylland
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise

Is betting on Midtjylland worth it?

🔵 Midtjylland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $459.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Saint Gilloise?

🔴 Union Saint Gilloise: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $865.80;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$235.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Midtjylland
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Midtjylland, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Midtjylland.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Midtjylland x Union Saint Gilloise

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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